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Thinking

Philosophy, life skills, and the inner work behind the building.

A decision path diagram showing an escalation route that terminates at the same executive who owns the shipping decision, labelled disclosure rather than control.
Essay

Anthropic's safety policy has never stopped a release. Yours probably hasn't either.

August 31, 2026
12 min read

The best-documented AI safety regime in existence publishes its own failures, raises its own risk grades, and has never stopped a release. Here is the test.

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Two columns. On the left, seven remediation actions each marked closed. On the right, the same capability restored through a different route, sixteen hours later.
Essay

Incident remediation: how to tell whether you closed the route or removed the capability

August 31, 2026
8 min read

Seven remediation actions, all correctly closed, and the capability was back sixteen hours later. Three questions to ask before you sign off.

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Two bars compared: the vendor's claimed AUC of 0.76 to 0.83, marked as internal documentation, against an independently measured 0.63, marked as peer reviewed.
Essay

Epic's sepsis model missed two thirds of cases. Its accuracy claim was never published.

August 28, 2026
8 min read

The figure hundreds of hospitals bought against existed only in the vendor's internal documents. Five years on, it is a Teams meeting.

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A timeline from May to July 2026 with three horizontal bars beneath it, each breaking at a different point: classification can precede action, escalation outruns consequence, and remediation removes capability.
Essay

The OpenAI–Hugging Face incident broke three assumptions in how operational resilience is actually run

August 28, 2026
33 min read

Detection worked. Attribution worked. A correct diagnosis on 27 June was followed by a decision not to stop, and a fortnight later Hugging Face was breached.

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Four numbered cards. One, what does it actually count: stalled is not failed, biased output is not a failed project. Two, on what unit: organisations, portfolios, projects, use cases, models, and the swap is silent. Three, over what window: return takes two to four years, so measuring at six months makes it fail. Four, measurement or forecast: seven of the nineteen describe nothing that has happened. Below: if you cannot answer all four from the post you are reading, whoever wrote it could not either.
Essay

AI project failure rates: four questions that tell you whether the number means anything

August 26, 2026
6 min read

I classified nineteen of the most-cited AI failure statistics. Seven of them measure nothing that has happened. Here are the four questions that separate the two.

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Two paths to the same place. Along the top, what was asked for, a stateful teaching skill with a mission file, sources, one lesson and a quiz, connected by a long arrow labelled 'looks like the destination' to what came back, an explanation that was accurate, organised, on topic and reviewable. Below, boxed in red and headed 'the route, which nobody reviews', four steps: skill installed and verified, never invoked because a human must type it, guard disabled by one word in the prompt lifting the length cap, and no trace left, meaning no mission file, no lesson, no quiz and no directory.
Build Log

Reviewing AI output isn't enough: one word in my prompt made the guardrail disappear

August 26, 2026
9 min read

I asked for a teacher and got a lecture. The output looked like the destination. The road it took was invisible, and the road was the whole problem.

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Three incident cards of very different sizes being collapsed into a single identical headline.
Essay

AI agents escaped containment: 17,600 actions, and the alert that fired too quietly

August 13, 2026
8 min read

Three incidents, one headline, three very different severities. What the primary reports actually say, and what to do about it.

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Two identical stacks of markdown files, one inside a folder labelled Yours, one inside a folder labelled Theirs, with a single switch between them.
Essay

Own your AI skill files, or your job becomes one

August 12, 2026
7 min read

A skill file is your judgement, written down and executable. Who owns the repo decides whether that's an asset or an extraction.

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The four activities of Soft Systems Methodology drawn as a loop: find out about the situation, build purposeful activity models, compare and debate, take action, with the loop returning to the start
Essay

Soft Systems Methodology explained: Checkland's 1969 method for AI briefs nobody agrees on

August 10, 2026
9 min read

Most AI projects fail on the brief, not the model: six people nod at one sentence and mean four different projects. Soft Systems Methodology, built at Lancaster from 1969 for exactly that, in plain English: rich pictures, root definitions, CATWOE, and how to run it on the next thing on your roadmap.

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Diagram contrasting a straight-line delivery pipeline with a learning cycle that loops back through comparison
Essay

80% of AI projects fail on the problem, not the model: Soft Systems Methodology

August 8, 2026
7 min read

More than 80% of AI projects fail, and RAND's leading root cause is not the technology: nobody agreed what problem was being solved. Soft Systems Methodology, built at Lancaster from 1969 for exactly that failure, gives you a way to surface the disagreement in an afternoon instead of a year.

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A car dashboard where the windscreen is replaced by more dials, illustrating that perception is a model rather than a direct view of the world.
Essay

Bernardo Kastrup's cosmic mind has no plan: what analytic idealism actually claims

August 1, 2026
10 min read

The most rigorous idealist alive gives the non-duality audience far less than they want: a universal consciousness that is instinctive, has no plan, and is not looking back at you. What he actually claims, why he says it cannot be proven, and the one part that survives whoever turns out to be right.

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Tiago Forte's book Building a Second Brain propped on a working desk, beside a podcast mic, with a laptop showing the author's prompts workspace and a large monitor showing his blog in the background.
Build Log

The Prodigal Second Brain

May 25, 2026
7 min read

I built a second brain in 2020 and drowned it in my own output. PARA was the right answer to the wrong era. Here is the shape that fits this one.

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An ornate, freshly painted facade of a grand house. From the front it looks immaculate. The viewer's angle reveals the back: there is no back. Wooden scaffolding props it up from behind, the timber rotten and warped. The building is a single wall pretending to be a home.
Essay

You Are Not the House You Built

April 26, 2026
4 min read

The third in a series. The performed self is a building you put up because contact with the real one was unbearable. Stopping it from falling down is why you are so tired.

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A 19th-century black-and-white engraving. A robed figure stands on a small stone platform in the middle of a ruined landscape, arms raised in confident declamation. Broken columns lie around him. The platform beneath his feet is crumbling into loose rock and sand, falling away into empty space below — but the figure cannot see this from where he is standing.
Essay

If It Makes You Angry, It Isn't Yours

April 25, 2026
3 min read

Anthony de Mello said you know someone has been brainwashed because they get angry when you challenge their beliefs. Social media and AI have made the condition almost universal.

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Build Log

I wrote the rule. Then I skipped it.

April 24, 2026
7 min read

Four days ago I published a blog about a bug I'd nearly shipped. The spec referenced two database fields that did not exist — trade.risk_amount and `trad...

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Build Log

Sprint 120 removed a safety rail. 41 trades later, I got the bill.

April 19, 2026
5 min read

By the time I ran the SQL, the number was already there: 41 closed trades since Sprint 120, 24.4% win rate, minus $217 net. Before that month, the system h...

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Essay

Contact Is the Test

April 18, 2026
4 min read

Self-awareness that doesn't produce contact with other people has gone bad. Dostoevsky figured this out in 1864.

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Essay

Truth Is the Currency of the Future

March 19, 2026
6 min read

I'm betting my family's financial future on truth. Here's why I think you should too.

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Build Log

The Smartest Developers I Know Left Their Brains at the Door

March 8, 2026
5 min read

Even seasoned developers leave their brains at the door when AI agents impress them. The better the tool, the less we scrutinize it. Here's the pattern, why it's dangerous, and what to do about it.

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Build Log

Why I Ditched Notion for Obsidian — And Let My AI Agents Into My Second Brain

February 21, 2026
6 min read

How a simple folder structure replaced my $96/year Notion subscription and made my AI assistants 10x more useful. Obsidian + QMD + Syncthing + PARA = a Second Brain your AI agents can actually use.

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