Crypto Trading Agent
Build Update - November 19, 2025
Trader-7: Analytics Dashboard Complete ✅
Shipped three major features today to help evaluate the AI trading system's decision-making:
🎯 Hindsight Validator
Built an automated system to validate Claude's conservatism. After 72 hours, we analyze rejected trade proposals to see if they would have hit stop loss (correct rejection) or take profit (missed opportunity).
Key Metrics:
- Precision: What % of rejections protected capital?
- Miss Rate: What % of rejections were too conservative?
- Conservative Score: Overall measure of over-caution
This will help tune the validation prompt based on real data.
💰 Hypothetical P&L Tracker
Added dollar impact calculations to understand the cost of conservatism:
- Missed Profit: Money left on the table from rejected winners
- Avoided Losses: Money saved from rejected losers
- Net P&L: The bottom line - is Claude's conservatism justified?
Uses realistic $500 position sizing to show real dollar amounts.
📊 Market Correlation Analysis
Built RSI and trend correlation tables to identify approval patterns:
- Which RSI ranges get approved most often?
- Does Claude prefer certain trend strengths?
- Color-coded heatmaps for quick pattern recognition
🔧 Code Quality
Fixed deprecation warnings in Streamlit and Pandas to future-proof the dashboard through 2026.
Current Status
System: LIVE on Railway, paper trading active since Nov 15 Proposals: 17 generated, all validated by Claude Approval Rate: 17.6% (3 approved, 14 rejected) Next Milestone: First hindsight analysis available Nov 22 (72h mark)
The analytics dashboard is now production-ready. Once we accumulate 30+ proposals over the next 2 weeks, we'll have statistically significant data to optimize the validation strategy.
Technical Details
Implementation Time: ~80 minutes total New Code: ~650 lines Files Modified: 1 (analytics.py) Database Changes: None (uses existing market_data table)
All features deployed via Railway auto-deploy from GitHub main branch.
Stack: Python, Streamlit, SQLite, Railway Trading: Coinbase spot markets (BTC/USD, ETH/USD) AI: DeepSeek (strategist), Claude Sonnet 4.5 (validator)